Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000165 0.000183 0.000202 0.000224 0.000248 0.000274 0.000306
2025-09-14 0.000135 0.000161 0.000191 0.000229 0.000275 0.000329 0.000400
2025-09-21 0.000113 0.000141 0.000177 0.000225 0.000286 0.000365 0.000474
2025-09-28 0.000095 0.000125 0.000163 0.000216 0.000289 0.000387 0.000531
2025-10-05 0.000086 0.000117 0.000158 0.000219 0.000306 0.000428 0.000618
2025-10-12 0.000080 0.000112 0.000157 0.000224 0.000326 0.000476 0.000718
2025-10-19 0.000072 0.000104 0.000149 0.000221 0.000332 0.000502 0.000790
2025-10-26 0.000067 0.000099 0.000147 0.000224 0.000347 0.000544 0.000892
2025-11-02 0.000062 0.000093 0.000141 0.000221 0.000354 0.000572 0.000973
2025-11-09 0.000058 0.000089 0.000138 0.000221 0.000364 0.000607 0.001069
2025-11-16 0.000053 0.000084 0.000133 0.000218 0.000369 0.000633 0.001154
2025-11-23 0.000049 0.000078 0.000126 0.000212 0.000366 0.000645 0.001212
2025-11-30 0.000046 0.000075 0.000123 0.000212 0.000377 0.000685 0.001333
2025-12-07 0.000044 0.000073 0.000123 0.000216 0.000396 0.000741 0.001498
2025-12-14 0.000041 0.000069 0.000118 0.000212 0.000398 0.000766 0.001602
2025-12-21 0.000037 0.000064 0.000111 0.000204 0.000392 0.000773 0.001665
2025-12-28 0.000035 0.000062 0.000110 0.000207 0.000407 0.000826 0.001844
2026-01-04 0.000034 0.000061 0.000111 0.000212 0.000428 0.000894 0.002067
2026-01-11 0.000032 0.000058 0.000107 0.000209 0.000431 0.000922 0.002199
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000057 0.000106 0.000212 0.000446 0.000982 0.002421
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000054 0.000103 0.000209 0.000451 0.001015 0.002579
2026-02-01 0.000028 0.000053 0.000101 0.000209 0.000460 0.001061 0.002780
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000050 0.000098 0.000207 0.000463 0.001094 0.002950